Swiss market faces bearish outlook despite potential short-term recovery

IG

The Swiss stock market has recently experienced turbulence due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. The SMI index saw a significant decline last week but has shown signs of a potential recovery at the start of the new week.

Concerns about a Deeper Correction

Analysts caution that this uptick may be short-lived as the index has closed below critical support levels, indicating a more challenging outlook ahead. The recent performance of the SMI raises concerns about a deeper correction in the coming months, with the emergence of a "head-and-shoulders" pattern suggesting further declines.

Crucial Role of Closing a Gap

The closure or remaining open of a recent gap in the SMI's trading range will play a crucial role in determining the market's trajectory.

Upcoming Catalysts and Market Sentiment

Market participants are advised to keep a close watch on upcoming catalysts, such as speeches from Federal Reserve members and the monthly U.S. employment reports, as these events are likely to influence market sentiment.

Considerations for Traders

Traders looking to capitalize on the current market conditions may consider a short position at 11,600 points with targets set at 11,200 and 11,000 points, while employing sound risk management strategies.

Staying Updated on News and Trends

The Swiss market's landscape will continue to be shaped by domestic and international factors, making it essential for participants to stay updated on relevant news and trends.

Summary

In summary, while the Swiss stock market may be on the verge of a short-term recovery, the underlying technical indicators suggest a more challenging environment ahead, and caution should be exercised.

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