NOCIL faces challenges as capacity expansion plans unfold amid declining performance

NOCIL's revenue for the period was Rs 3.6 billion, slightly lower than the expected Rs 3.9 billion, representing a 2.5% sequential decline. This decrease is due to logistical challenges that resulted in a small decrease in volumes, although the average price per kilogram remained stable at Rs 254, showing a 6% year-on-year decline.

Sales volume increased by 11% compared to the previous year, but EBITDA per kilogram decreased by 25% due to higher operating expenses related to increased production and freight costs. The company's overall capacity utilization is currently at 70%, with varying levels across different product lines.

To meet the strong demand for rubber chemical products, NOCIL plans to invest Rs 2.5 billion in expanding its capacity. These new capacities are expected to be operational in the second half of FY27, but it will take another 1.5 to 2 years to reach peak utilization across the portfolio.

  • The stock is currently trading at approximately 32 times FY26 estimated earnings per share.
  • Prabhudas Lilladher has maintained a 'Reduce' rating with a target price of Rs 256, valuing the company at 27 times FY26/FY27 EPS.
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