Gold prices have surged to unprecedented heights, reaching an all-time high of USD 2,790 per ounce on October 30, 2024. This surge is largely attributed to rising expectations surrounding the potential re-election of former President Donald Trump in the upcoming U.S. presidential race.
Analysts suggest that Trump's policies, including trade tariffs, increased government spending, tax cuts, and lower interest rates, have created a favorable environment for gold. As investors seek safe-haven assets amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties, gold's appeal continues to grow. The current rally in gold prices is also a response to broader economic concerns such as inflation fears and predictions of slower global growth. Gold is increasingly viewed as a hedge against these uncertainties.
Despite a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields, gold has shown resilience, highlighting its status as a reliable store of value in turbulent times. Various demand factors have also bolstered the outlook for gold, including a significant increase in gold demand for the third quarter of 2024 and positive exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand. Central bank purchases are expected to keep annual demand within the anticipated range.
Looking ahead, the outlook for gold remains optimistic, with a target price set for September 2025. The potential outcome of the U.S. presidential election is expected to play a significant role in determining the trajectory of gold prices. Investors are advised to closely monitor developments surrounding the election and its implications for economic policy. The interplay between political decisions and market reactions will be crucial in shaping the future of gold prices, as gold's hedging qualities are likely to remain important for investors seeking stability in their portfolios.