EFG International Shares Surge After UBS Upgrade to Buy Rating

EFG International's stock experienced a significant increase of over 7% following an upgrade from UBS analysts. The upgrade was driven by upward revisions to the company's earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, which are now expected to benefit from favorable market conditions, currency dynamics, and a restructured revenue model.

Earnings Per Share Forecasts

UBS analysts anticipate that EFG will continue to see net new money (NNM) inflows within a target range of 4-6%, supported by robust hiring efforts and a favorable market environment. The bank also highlighted EFG's above-average asset growth and profitability metrics, as well as its effective flow and cost management strategies.

The valuation narrative surrounding EFG has shifted, with UBS forecasting a higher valuation for the company based on improved operating leverage, earnings upgrades, and an underappreciated excess capital position. EFG's strong balance sheet, with excess capital exceeding CHF 500 million, provides additional upside potential and financial flexibility for growth opportunities and increased shareholder returns.

Market Outlook

The recent upgrade by UBS reflects growing optimism regarding EFG's growth trajectory and financial prospects, particularly in terms of asset growth and profitability. UBS has set a price target of CHF 14.1 for EFG, reflecting confidence in the company's near-term catalysts. The upgrade has prompted a broader discussion about EFG's strategic direction and market positioning, with analysts optimistic about the company's ability to navigate the financial markets.

Market reactions to the upgrade have been positive, with investors expressing renewed confidence in EFG's growth potential.

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