Wall Street is preparing for a potential year-end rally, with the S&P 500 projected to reach 6200 points.
Historical trends in the final weeks of the year typically favor a bullish market, and current participation indicators suggest a slightly oversold condition, particularly among small and mid-cap stocks as well as yield stocks.
The Federal Reserve's upcoming rhetoric and the PCE inflation figures set to be released this week will heavily influence market sentiment.
Investors are eagerly awaiting the Fed's new projections, especially regarding anticipated rate cuts for the following year and adjustments to the "neutral rate."
A lower-than-expected inflation reading could strengthen expectations for further rate cuts, providing additional support for equities.
However, the December unemployment rate, due in early January, will also play a crucial role in shaping the Fed's decisions for the new year.
While the last two weeks of the year may favor risky assets, the beginning of the next year could put pressure on the equity market, particularly if significant gains were achieved in the previous year.
Current trading strategies suggest buying above 6050 points, targeting 6200 points, with a stop set at 5950 points, indicating a favorable risk/reward ratio.