traders anticipate trump's policies will worsen inflation and mortgage rates

Traders are taking into account the potential impact of Donald Trump's return to the White House, as rising consumer prices and mortgage rates are causing public discontent.

The average 30-year mortgage rate has increased to 7.09%, the highest level since July, with a 45 basis point rise in the past month. Yields on 10-year Treasury notes have also gone up, climbing 49 basis points to 4.24%, as market-based measures of expected inflation show signs of recovery.

Analysts believe that Trump's proposed inflationary tariff and immigration policies, along with a potential weakening of the Federal Reserve's inflation-fighting measures, could worsen the ongoing cost-of-living crisis. While political factors are not the only drivers of these market movements, they are playing a significant role in shaping investor sentiment as the November 5 election approaches.

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