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Wall Street's initial enthusiasm for Donald Trump's presidency is now tempered by the complexities of his potential second term. Experts warn that his administration may introduce contradictory policies and unintended consequences, influenced by his choice of advisors. The implications for interest rates and Corporate America remain uncertain.
Corporate America's major investors are capitalizing on a stock market rally by divesting their stakes in various companies following the US presidential election. Since November 5, over $4 billion in existing shares have been sold, highlighting a significant trend in the market.
The Indian rupee closed nearly unchanged at 84.3838 against the US dollar on November 13, despite pressures from equity outflows. Experts noted that intervention by the Reserve Bank of India and a stable dollar index helped maintain the currency's position. Anil Kumar Bhansali from Finrex Treasury Advisors highlighted RBI's selling and a potential easing in foreign portfolio investments following significant equity declines.
Bonuses in the US financial industry are set to rise significantly in 2024, with investment bankers and traders expecting double-digit increases, particularly in the corporate credit sector, where payouts could soar by up to 35%. While equity traders may see bonuses increase by around 20%, those in private and corporate client roles might experience stagnation or a decline of 5%. Despite a challenging 2023, optimism for 2025 is growing as banks anticipate their largest profits since 2021.
Bitcoin's rally has paused after a remarkable 32% surge following Donald Trump's election victory, reaching a record high of $89,968. As of 9:13 a.m. Wednesday in Singapore, the cryptocurrency was trading at $88,500 as traders evaluate the ongoing market effects of Trump's support for digital assets.
Inflation in Argentina slowed to 2.7% in October, marking the lowest rate in three years and surprising economists who had anticipated a 3% increase. Annual inflation fell to 193%, dipping below 200% for the first time since President Javier Milei took office, highlighting his focus on controlling inflation.
Polish policymaker Ireneusz Dabrowski has revised his stance on interest rate cuts, now suggesting they should be delayed until the third quarter of 2025. This change follows a new inflation projection indicating that price growth will remain above target throughout 2025, influenced by persistent inflation and a loose fiscal policy.
Several Russian billionaires express skepticism about the optimism surrounding the country's economic growth and the potential lifting of US sanctions under President Trump. They believe the ongoing war has significantly altered the economic landscape, making long-term goals seem unattainable, and doubt a swift resolution to the conflict.
Hungarian inflation rose to an annual 3.2% in October, slightly below the 3.5% forecast in a Bloomberg survey, following a slowdown to the central bank's 3% target in September. Month-on-month, consumer prices increased by 0.1%, while a weak currency may hinder further interest rate cuts.
China's credit growth in October fell short of expectations, with aggregate financing rising by 1.4 trillion yuan ($195 billion), below the forecast of 1.5 trillion yuan. This slowdown comes amid a significant increase in government bond sales, contrasting with a 1.8 trillion yuan rise in the same month last year.
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