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UBS reports that TotalEnergies and Shell are the most crowded long positions in the energy sector, with TotalEnergies benefiting from strong results and higher European prices. Shell's crowding score rose significantly after a positive Capital Markets Day, while refining subsectors, particularly Neste, faced high short interest due to declining margins. Equinor saw a notable drop in net long positions amid easing geopolitical tensions, while hedge fund activity showed mixed trends, with TotalEnergies and Equinor attracting inflows, contrasting with outflows from Shell and OMV.
TotalEnergies and Shell have emerged as the most crowded long positions in the energy sector, driven by TotalEnergies' strong performance and Shell's positive Capital Markets Day. In contrast, Neste faces significant short interest due to weak renewable diesel margins, while green hydrogen companies remain heavily shorted amid delayed market adoption. Hedge fund activity shows Shell experiencing notable outflows, while TotalEnergies and Equinor attract inflows, reflecting differing investment strategies.
UBS Global Research has downgraded Neste from "buy" to "neutral," reducing the price target from €15 to €10 due to concerns over near-term outlook and a significant decline in Renewable Products margins. The analysts expect margins to recover to around $400 per ton by 2026, but immediate pressures from falling renewable diesel prices and rising feedstock costs, along with uncertainty over federal tax credits in the US, are likely to weigh on the stock. Despite these challenges, long-term growth potential remains intact, particularly with increasing demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel in Europe and renewable diesel in California.
NESTE
Companies
The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
totalenergies and shell lead crowded energy long positions amid market shifts
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13:37 02.04.2025
totalenergies and shell lead crowded long positions in energy sector
ITM Power PLC
NESTE
Nelnet, Inc.
TOTALENERGIES
Equinor ASA
De Nora India Limited
Shell plc
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Show more
13:33 02.04.2025
ubs downgrades neste to neutral amid concerns over near-term margins
12:03 25.03.2025
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