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The outlook for Swiss exports has improved slightly, with the Allianz Trade Export Forecast rising to -0.12 points in October, up from a multi-year low of -1.4 points at the end of 2022. While air freight and financial markets have driven this improvement, caution remains due to global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. The strong Swiss franc and declining industrial production worldwide continue to challenge demand for Swiss goods, particularly in Europe.
Swiss bankers have expressed concerns over government plans for stricter capital requirements for UBS and other major banks, arguing that existing regulations are sufficient and that new measures could harm the competitiveness of the financial sector. The Swiss Bankers Association supports targeted stability improvements but warns that proposed changes, including increased capital for foreign subsidiaries, need careful calibration. UBS has indicated that additional capital requirements could range from $15 billion to $25 billion, with implementation aimed for early 2025.
UBS shares rose 0.4% to CHF 27.90, making it a standout in the SMI, which is at 12,204 points. The stock hit a daily high of CHF 28.04 and has a 52-week high of CHF 28.78, requiring a 3.15% increase to reach that level. Analysts forecast an EPS of USD 1.65 for 2024, with recent quarterly earnings at CHF 0.32, down from CHF 8.42 a year prior, despite a 38.06% increase in sales to CHF 19.76 billion.
UBS AG has maintained a "Sell" rating for Beiersdorf, setting a target price of 111 euros after the company's quarterly figures fell short of expectations. Despite this, Beiersdorf's outlook remains optimistic, with shares rising 3.4% to EUR 131.40, indicating a potential downside risk of 15.53% relative to the target. The stock has seen a 2.4% decline since the start of 2024, with Q4 2024 financial results expected on February 26, 2025.
Walter Frey, born in 1943, has been a pivotal figure in the automotive industry, taking over Emil Frey AG in 1976 and expanding it into a major European car dealership. Under his leadership, the company has successfully imported brands like Toyota, Subaru, and Mercedes, while also venturing into new markets, including Croatia and Greece. Today, the Emil Frey Group stands as the largest car dealer in Europe, with ongoing expansions into electric vehicle imports.
The GZO's restructuring plan proposes a significant two-thirds write-off of creditor claims, aiming to avoid bankruptcy while addressing a substantial need for depreciation and equity injection. Bondholders express skepticism, as the estimated estate dividend for creditors is only 30-35%, raising concerns about the long-term viability of hospital financing in Switzerland. A decision on the restructuring's suitability will be made by the end of the year, with implications for the broader healthcare financing landscape.
The Jura Government acknowledges BCJ's strategy following its decision to close four branches due to recent violent robberies, despite the bank's record profit of over 13 million francs in 2023. While BCJ is an autonomous institution, the Government emphasizes its commitment to monitor security and local service provision, including plans for ATMs in affected villages.
UBS has maintained a "Sell" rating for Beiersdorf, setting a price target of 111 euros following the company's quarterly results, which showed organic growth falling short of expectations. Analyst Guillaume Delmas noted that despite this, Beiersdorf's outlook for the full year remains optimistic.
High-net-worth individuals (HNWIs) continue to invest in art and antiques, with median spending stabilizing at $50,000 in 2023 and $25,555 in the first half of 2024. The share of works by female artists reached 44%, and 52% of expenditures were on new and emerging artists. Optimism about the global art market rose, with 91% of HNWIs expecting positive performance in the next six months.
Global art sales declined by 4% to approximately $65 billion last year, driven by cautious spending among wealthy buyers amid inflation, high interest rates, and political instability. Auction sales fell by 7%, while dealer sales dropped by 3%, particularly affecting high-value art and NFTs, which saw a 51% decrease in sales from their 2021 peak. In contrast, China's art market grew by 9%, becoming the second largest globally, as buyers returned post-COVID lockdowns.

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