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UBS Group AG is considering job cuts in France due to a weakening economy and the integration of Credit Suisse. The bank's spokesman noted that the restructuring is linked to a less favorable market environment and is currently being discussed with the works council. French business confidence has declined, and the economy is projected to grow only 0.2% per quarter in the first half of next year.
Standard & Poor's has reaffirmed Raiffeisen Zurich's long-term and short-term credit ratings at "AA-" and "A-1+", respectively, highlighting the bank's excellent capitalization, stable earnings, and solid credit quality. With a 17.9% market share in the Swiss mortgage sector, Raiffeisen remains a leading retail bank. The bank reported a profit of 641.6 million Swiss francs in the first half of 2024 and anticipates solid business development for the current financial year, though results may not match the extraordinary levels of the previous year.
The Credit Suisse crisis highlights the limitations of Switzerland's high-precision financial market regulation. While the Swiss excel in meticulousness, this approach may hinder their ability to address complex, long-term financial issues effectively. A shift in focus towards the broader purpose of regulation is essential for the financial center's future.
The Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry into Credit Suisse has concluded that senior management failed in their duties, prompting recommendations for stricter regulations on banks, including UBS. While UBS has adopted a more conservative approach post-takeover, concerns remain about potential future risks and the implicit state guarantees that could encourage reckless behavior. The effectiveness of new regulatory tools and the responsibility of systemically important banks towards the Swiss economy are critical for preventing future crises.
The parliamentary commission of inquiry into the collapse of Credit Suisse, involving Basel politicians Maya Graf and Daniela Schneeberger, criticized the bank's management for significant errors and the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (Finma) for its inadequate intervention. Graf emphasized the need for stronger regulatory tools for Finma and improved cooperation among federal authorities to prevent future crises. The PUK report has been submitted to the Swiss Parliament for discussion in the upcoming spring session.
The ICC's report on the March 19, 2023, write-off of AT1 bonds, totaling 16 billion francs, has drawn criticism for its lack of accountability and failure to address misleading statements from Credit Suisse's management. Over 3,000 investors are still awaiting responses from the Federal Administrative Court regarding their appeals against Finma's decision, with many now looking to the U.S. justice system for recourse. Dario Item, a financial law expert, expressed disappointment in the ICC's superficial conclusions and the prolonged delays faced by investors.
Credit Suisse's collapse in March 2023 was attributed to years of mismanagement, with the Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry highlighting the board's failure to heed regulatory warnings. While federal authorities were found to have shortcomings, they acted decisively to prevent a broader financial crisis during the UBS takeover. The report emphasizes the need for improved oversight and timely decision-making in the banking sector.
UBS Asset Management’s Kevin Zhao plans to purchase US Treasuries during the holiday season, anticipating a selloff due to thin trading volumes. He believes that President-elect Donald Trump's policies will negatively impact the economy, contrary to the prevailing view that they will boost growth and inflation, thus affecting the bond market.
Kevin Zhao of UBS Asset Management plans to purchase US Treasuries during the holiday season, anticipating a selloff due to thin trading volumes. He believes that President-elect Donald Trump's policies will negatively impact the economy, contrary to the prevailing view that they will boost growth and inflation, thus affecting the bond market.
UBS Asset Management’s Kevin Zhao plans to buy US Treasuries during the holiday season, anticipating that President-elect Trump’s policies will negatively impact economic growth. Despite a market trend of selling off Treasuries, Zhao believes yields will rise to 4.6% before year-end, and he sees potential buying opportunities amid holiday market volatility. He argues that the benefits of tax cuts are being overestimated and may not materialize until 2026.
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