UBS has revised its alumina price forecast for 2025 downward to below $400 per ton, following a rapid price decline from over $800 per ton in December 2024 due to increased supply. Factors contributing to this shift include record production rates in China and a significant rebound in bauxite imports from Guinea.Despite the forecast cut, UBS remains optimistic about aluminum's fundamental outlook, anticipating modest market deficits and a stable LME aluminum price around $2,700 per ton, while maintaining a bullish stance on companies like Norsk Hydro and Alcoa Corp.
UBS maintains neutral rating for Rio Tinto with production plans in Guinea
UBS has maintained a "Neutral" rating for Rio Tinto plc, setting a target price of 5250 pence. Analyst Myles Allsop noted that the mining company is on track to commence production at the Simandou iron ore mine in Guinea later this year.
ubs maintains neutral rating for rio tinto amid production challenges
UBS has maintained a "Neutral" rating for Rio Tinto plc, setting a target price of 5250 pence. Analyst Myles Allsop highlighted potential challenges for the company, including delays in production at the new Simandou iron ore mine in Guinea, which is expected to start in 2025, due to record rainfall and political uncertainties.
ubs upgrades rio tinto to neutral with target price of 5250 pence
UBS has maintained a "Neutral" rating for Rio Tinto, setting a target price of 5250 pence. Analyst Myles Allsop highlighted the upcoming production at the Simandou iron ore mine in Guinea, expected to start in 2025, but noted potential challenges from severe rainfall and political instability.
dark fleet vessel reappears raising concerns over zombie ship phenomenon
A dark-fleet vessel, previously thought to be dismantled after an explosion off Malaysia's coast, has re-emerged with its transponder signal active again. The Pablo was detected in the Gulf of Guinea, reportedly engaged in a ship-to-ship cargo transfer with a tanker linked to US-sanctioned Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA).
ubs forecasts copper prices to rise amid tightening supply and growing demand
UBS forecasts copper prices to average $10,500 per ton in 2025, driven by tightening supplies and increasing demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and AI data centers. A deficit of over 200,000 tons is expected as smelters face losses due to low treatment charges, while consumption in Europe and the U.S. is anticipated to improve. Additionally, alumina prices are projected to decline in early 2025 due to a supply glut, despite recent record highs caused by disruptions.
guinea secures 52 million euros for health sector support project
The Conseil National de la Transition (CNT) ratified a €52.9 million framework loan agreement with the Islamic Development Bank (IDB) to support Guinea's health sector. The project, co-financed by the IDB (91%) and the Guinean government (9%), aims to enhance the national health system and reduce mortality from various diseases. Key financing terms include an 18-year repayment period for the loan and a 15-year period for instalment sales, with specific grace periods and concessionality rates.
panic in alumina market as prices approach record high
Panic is escalating in the alumina market as prices surge over 20% this month, nearing the record high of $707.75 set in 2018. The spike is driven by supply concerns following an export disruption in Guinea, the leading producer, impacting the market in China.
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