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The net supply of government bonds in the Eurozone is set to reach a record high, driven by the European Central Bank's shift to quantitative tightening. In 2025, eleven member states will issue €1,281 billion in bonds, with Italy, France, and Germany leading the reductions. Political instability in France and Germany contrasts with Italy's surprising stability under Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, highlighting the diverse challenges within the Eurozone.
Record net supply of eurozone government bonds is anticipated in 2025, driven by the ECB's quantitative tightening, with a total of €872 billion expected. Political instability in France, Germany, and Austria contrasts with Italy's surprising stability under Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, highlighting diverse fiscal pressures across the region. The European Commission plans to issue €160 billion in EU bonds, while Switzerland faces its own fiscal challenges amid discussions on a debt relief package.
Ukraine has halted Russian gas transit to Europe following the expiration of a pre-war agreement, citing national security concerns. This decision is expected to significantly impact Russia's gas market, as Europe aims to eliminate Russian gas imports by 2027. Moldova faces a humanitarian crisis as gas supplies to the breakaway region of Transnistria have been cut off, prompting emergency measures amid fears of a harsh winter.
The EU's cryptocurrency regulations, set to fully take effect on December 30, 2024, introduce varying grandfathering periods for member states, with some allowing up to 18 months. Tether's USDt stablecoin faces uncertainty regarding its compliance, as exchanges like Coinbase have delisted it, while others await regulatory clarity. The transitional phase will last until July 2026, during which existing crypto services may continue under national laws, potentially leading to inconsistent consumer protections across the EU.
MEXC, a leading global cryptocurrency exchange, has expanded its language support to 34, adding 17 new languages including Dutch, Bulgarian, and Indonesian. This initiative enhances user experience, accelerates global expansion, and fosters cultural inclusion, reflecting MEXC's commitment to connecting diverse investors worldwide. With over 30 million users and a threefold increase in trading volume year-on-year, MEXC continues to prioritize accessibility and innovation in the crypto market.
Mabrouk Chetouane, Head of Global Market Strategy at Natixis Investment Managers, argues that the U.S. can sustain its debt in the short to medium term, despite rising deficits projected by 2040. He believes tariffs won't significantly drive inflation, as other factors like demand and currency valuation play crucial roles. Chetouane also advocates for the European Central Bank to cut interest rates further, citing the negative impact of past hikes on the manufacturing sector, particularly in Germany.
Inspectors from the domestic Competition Committee raided the Athens offices of Nestle Hellas, investigating potential cartel activities and abuse of market dominance. A representative confirmed the raid, which follows a history of scrutiny, including a €30 million fine in 2009 for anti-competitive practices related to coffee. The committee clarified that the inspections do not imply guilt or predict the investigation's outcome.
France's financial situation is under scrutiny as its debt reaches EUR 2,450 billion, with a rising risk premium on government bonds. Despite a budget deficit of 5.5% of GDP and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 112%, debt financing remains manageable, with interest expenses at 2.3% of GDP. The intense focus on France's debt reflects broader concerns about the eurozone's stability and the European Central Bank's role in maintaining investor confidence.
At the 9th Annual Private Banking Conference & Awards in Zurich, Dr. Stefan Gerlach, chief economist at EFG Private Bank, highlighted the mixed state of the global economy, noting slight growth in some areas and rising debt in others. He criticized Trump's bold yet contradictory policies, such as banking deregulation and immigration tightening, which could impact the labor market. In Europe, while Switzerland shows robust growth, Germany remains stagnant, and public deficits continue to pose significant challenges, despite strong performances from previously struggling countries like Spain, Portugal, Greece, and Ireland.
Alex Patelis, chief economic adviser to Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, has resigned after over five years in the role. In a Facebook post, he highlighted the government's achievement of returning the country to investment grade and ensuring economic stability since 2019. Patelis's final day in office will be December 31.
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eurozone government bond supply reaches record levels amid political uncertainties
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10:50 08.01.2025
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