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european economic outlook improves but caution persists amid ongoing challenges

Citigroup's latest review highlights a cautiously optimistic economic outlook for Europe, driven by Germany's potential fiscal easing, increased defense spending, and anticipated interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank. However, challenges such as U.S. tariffs and geopolitical uncertainties may hinder growth, despite forecasts of GDP rising from 0.8% in 2024 to 1% in 2025. Disinflation is expected to continue, with core inflation projected to reach 2% by year-end, potentially falling below target in subsequent years.

japan's economic decline projected by 2075 amid population challenges and reforms

Japan's GDP per capita is projected to plummet from 29th to 45th globally by 2075, with real GDP expected to grow to $4.4 trillion but drop its global ranking from fourth to 11th. Contributing factors include a declining population, low fertility rates, and limited benefits from AI advancements, necessitating urgent labor reforms to boost productivity. Meanwhile, emerging markets like India are set to rise significantly, with BRICS nations projected to surpass the US in total GDP by 2075.

NKN Media secures funding for global expansion and new media ventures

NKN Media has raised AED 35 million and plans to secure an additional AED 50 million to fuel its global expansion and develop new intellectual properties. Celebrating five years in Dubai, the company is set to launch a global tour and has a lineup of significant events in 2025, including the Ultimate Realty Awards and the debut of Majlis Premium, a startup fundraising forum. Additionally, NKN Media is expanding into inflight media and OOH sectors, aiming to enhance its presence in high-impact media segments.

Goldman Sachs Raises Gold Price Target Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Fed Expectations

Goldman Sachs has raised its year-end gold price target from $3,100 to $3,300 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Spot gold prices recently hit a record high of $3,059.48 per ounce, with strong demand for gold-backed ETFs indicating potential for further increases. Central bank purchases have surged, marking a significant shift in the global reserve system and positioning gold as a strategic asset in the evolving economic landscape.

S&P Global Ratings revises Raiffeisen Bank outlook to stable amid strategic changes

S&P Global Ratings has revised Raiffeisen Bank International's outlook to stable from negative, affirming its 'A-/A-2' ratings, following the bank's strategic exit from Belarus and scaling back in Russia. This move has mitigated nonfinancial risks and reputational concerns, with expectations of further divestment in Russian operations within 12 to 24 months. Despite a projected decline in profits for 2024, the Raiffeisen Banking Group is expected to maintain strong financial performance and capitalization amid ongoing geopolitical challenges.

s and p global ratings upgrades raiffeisen bank outlook to stable

S&P Global Ratings has upgraded Raiffeisen Bank International's outlook from negative to stable, affirming its 'A-/A-2' ratings. This change follows the bank's strategic exit from Belarus and significant reduction of operations in Russia, which has mitigated non-financial and reputational risks. Despite a projected decline in net profit for 2024, the bank's strong financial performance and robust risk management practices are expected to sustain its creditworthiness amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.

de-dollarisation risks rise as central banks question us dollar swap lines

Deutsche Bank warns of a significant risk to the US dollar's dominance, citing concerns over the reliability of dollar swap lines during market stress. As European Central Bank officials question their dependence on these lines, the potential for de-dollarization grows, particularly among major economic rivals like China and Russia. This uncertainty could lead to reduced foreign ownership of US assets and a weakening of the dollar's role globally, coinciding with a surge in gold prices.

unicredit confirms compliance with european central bank on russian business reduction

UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel confirmed the bank's compliance with the European Central Bank's (ECB) requests regarding the reduction of its Russian business, stating they are ahead of some deadlines. However, UniCredit has challenged the ECB's stringent deadlines in court, arguing that compliance could conflict with Russian law and international sanctions. In the fourth quarter, the bank reported an 8% increase in cross-border payments with Russia, totaling 9.8 billion euros, attributed to one-off debt repayments from Western companies.

banking supervisors focus on cyber and geopolitical risks in financial sector

The ECB's banking supervisors are intensifying their focus on geopolitical and cyber risks, emphasizing the need for robust risk management as digitalization in finance grows. ECB President Christine Lagarde highlighted the challenges posed by geopolitical instability, including the war in Ukraine and trade tensions, which test banks' resilience. Supervisors are concerned about the rising frequency of cyberattacks and are working with banks to enhance their defenses, while also monitoring liquidity and currency risks amid unpredictable U.S. policies.

Goldman Sachs raises gold price forecast amid strong central bank demand

Goldman Sachs has raised its end-2025 gold price forecast from $3,100 to $3,300 per troy ounce, citing strong ETF inflows and central bank demand. The bank anticipates an average of 70 tonnes per month in central bank purchases, with potential prices exceeding $4,200 under certain scenarios. Meanwhile, Bank of America has also increased its gold price target to $3,500 per ounce within two years, reflecting a broader bullish sentiment in the market.
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