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swiss bank among top investors in nuclear weapons manufacturers

UBS ranks as the 9th largest non-US investor in nuclear weapons producers, having invested nearly $2.5 billion in shares and bonds, alongside over $3 billion in loans. Despite a decline in financial institutions involved in nuclear weapon financing, total investments in major manufacturers rose to $513 billion. The International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons highlights the impact of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which Switzerland has yet to join.

germany faces critical elections amid economic stagnation and fiscal challenges

German voters head to the polls amid economic stagnation, with the potential for a coalition between the Union and SPD to reform the debt brake. The outcome could influence fiscal policy, defense spending, and the broader economic landscape in Europe, particularly given Germany's reliance on Russian gas and weak exports to China. A fragmented political scene may hinder necessary reforms, while a grand coalition could facilitate tax cuts and increased investment in infrastructure.

aud usd rises to nine week high ahead of rba rate decision

The AUD/USD reached a nine-week high at 0.6351, driven by easing US tariff pressures, optimism for a ceasefire in Ukraine, and weaker US economic data that bolstered expectations for Fed rate cuts. As the RBA prepares for its meeting, a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.85% is anticipated, marking the first reduction since November 2020, with further cuts expected later in the year. The currency pair faces resistance around 0.6350/0.6370, with potential for a rally towards 0.6560 if it breaks through.

mixed market signals as tech shares falter and peace talks continue

US Vice President J.D. Vance emphasized the need for a swift and lasting peace in Ukraine during a meeting with President Volodymyr Selensky, while trade tensions escalated under Trump’s new tariff policies. In the stock market, Airbnb surged over 14% after strong quarterly results, while Informatica's shares plummeted by more than 21% due to disappointing turnover. The Swiss Market Index is poised for a slight increase, driven by ongoing geopolitical developments and the upcoming earnings reports from major companies.

musk's influence reshapes us government amid ethical concerns and privatization efforts

Elon Musk's influence in the Trump administration has led to significant government cuts and the restructuring of key agencies, raising concerns over ethical conflicts and transparency. His "department of government efficiency" (Doge) aims to defund public programs while benefiting private companies, including his own, as they increasingly take on government roles. Critics warn that the lack of oversight and potential for political corruption could undermine accountability in federal operations.

fed signals cautious optimism as inflation eases and growth stabilizes

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reported to Congress that the economy is strong, with GDP projected to grow by 2.5% in 2024, despite a robust labor market and easing inflation at 2.8%. UBS's Mark Haefele sees a favorable environment for U.S. equities, predicting 9% growth through 2025, while cautioning against risks from tariffs and geopolitical tensions in Europe, particularly regarding natural gas prices. Investors are advised to maintain a diversified approach, focusing on high-quality bonds and resilient equities amidst global uncertainties.

DAX Hits New Highs Amid Concerns Over US Tariffs and Inflation

Market concerns are rising over potential tariffs and their impact on inflation in the U.S., which could hinder hopes for interest rate cuts. Despite this, the DAX index is reaching new all-time highs, driven by capital inflow from the U.S. and optimism about resolving the Ukraine conflict. However, the rapid price increase raises caution, as a drop below key trend lines could signal a correction, with the first target at 21,303 points.

Canadian dollar strengthens as geopolitical optimism pressures US dollar

The Canadian dollar has reached a two-month high against the US dollar, driven by renewed optimism in geopolitical and trade relations. Recent announcements from the U.S. President regarding peace negotiations in Ukraine and a delay in new tariffs have contributed to this shift. Technically, the USD/CAD pair is poised for a bearish reversal, with a potential pullback to the 200-session moving average near 1.39.

peace in ukraine could boost european stocks analysts suggest

Recent discussions between U.S. President Trump and leaders of Russia and Ukraine have raised hopes for a peace deal, which could positively impact European stocks. Analysts at UBS suggest that a ceasefire may lead to reconstruction opportunities in Ukraine, lower energy prices, and reduced consumer costs, benefiting companies like Ryanair, EasyJet, and Siemens.

Citi and UBS raise gold price forecasts amid geopolitical tensions and tariffs

Citi and UBS have both raised their gold price forecasts to $3,000 per ounce, driven by increasing safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and trade wars. Citi anticipates this surge will continue, supported by central bank buying and a strong U.S. dollar, while UBS highlights gold's enduring value as a hedge against uncertainty. Despite recent selling pressure, the outlook for gold remains bullish through 2025.
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