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Russian President Vladimir Putin has enacted a law that forgives debt arrears of up to 10 million roubles ($95,835) for new army recruits who sign contracts to fight in Ukraine for at least a year, effective December 1. This law targets potential recruits with existing debt collection proceedings prior to that date, as Russia intensifies military recruitment efforts with significant financial incentives.
US markets are buoyed by optimism surrounding Trump's potential policies, with the MSCI USA equity index up 4.6% this month and 25% year-to-date. Despite geopolitical tensions, investors remain confident, believing that nuclear threats from Russia are bluster and that Trump's return could stabilize the Ukraine conflict. The promise of AI advancements and a resilient market, exemplified by Bitcoin's rise, further fuels this bullish sentiment.
Russia's recent greenhouse gas inventory report to the UN, which includes emissions from annexed Ukrainian territories, has sparked protests from Ukrainian officials at COP29. They argue this undermines global climate efforts and violates Ukraine's sovereignty, raising concerns over potential double-counting of emissions. Legal experts warn that Russia's claims could lead to illegal appropriation of emissions reductions as carbon market offsets.
Britain faces a looming stagflation crisis as rising costs from increased national insurance, minimum wage hikes, and property rates threaten business profitability. Companies may resort to layoffs to cope, while the Bank of England grapples with the dilemma of maintaining interest rates amid inflationary pressures. With external risks from global conflicts and domestic economic strains, the outlook for growth remains bleak.
Heavy snowfall from low pressure system Caetano has broken November records in Switzerland, causing significant traffic disruptions and affecting postal services. Meanwhile, a former army advisor faces a criminal complaint for billing over CHF 400,000 during the pandemic, and NATO convenes a meeting in response to Russia's missile threats against Ukraine. Additionally, Pam Bondi is nominated as Trump's new Attorney General, and Switzerland's energy outlook remains stable despite potential winter challenges.
At the APEC summit in Lima, the looming presence of Donald Trump overshadowed discussions, with diplomats expressing anxiety over his potential return to power and the threat of universal tariffs. Meanwhile, President Xi Jinping advocated for economic globalization, contrasting Trump's protectionist stance, as global leaders navigated a divided landscape marked by geopolitical tensions and uncertainty. The atmosphere was one of cautious anticipation, with many waiting to see how Trump's policies might reshape international trade dynamics.
Raiffeisen InvestmentClub's fall events focused on the impact of the US elections on financial markets, highlighting Donald Trump's significant power and potential policies. Expert Stefan Riße warned of negative effects for Europe, particularly from the America First strategy and its geopolitical implications. The events included tours of local businesses, showcasing the club's commitment to providing valuable insights to its members since 2011.
The Sensex experienced its largest rally in five months, soaring nearly 2,000 points and gaining Rs 7.58 trillion as investors shifted focus from the Adani bribery case to potential BJP victories in the Maharashtra Assembly Election. Mid-cap and small-cap indices also reflected this robust trend, rising 1.1% and 0.8%, respectively. With exit polls indicating a likely BJP-led Mahayuti win, market sentiment appears to be recovering despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and foreign institutional investor sell-offs.
Gold prices have surged approximately 5% to $2,680 an ounce amid escalating tensions between Ukraine and Russia, following Ukraine's missile strikes and Russia's retaliatory threats. Technical analysis suggests a bullish trend, with potential targets of $2,785 and $3,000 by year-end, influenced by geopolitical factors and Fed rate cut expectations. Investors are increasingly turning to gold as a safe-haven asset during this crisis.
Asia-Pacific markets surged as investors reacted to Japan's October inflation data, with core CPI rising 2.3%, slightly above expectations. Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix gained 0.54% and 0.51%, respectively, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 increased by 0.71%. In the U.S., major indexes also rose, with the Dow Jones up 462 points, as crude oil prices climbed following geopolitical tensions.
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