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Bitcoin remains above $62,000, buoyed by a recent interest rate cut in the US, although investor euphoria is starting to fade. The upcoming US presidential election, featuring Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, may influence crypto regulations, while key Federal Reserve speeches next week could provide insights into future monetary policy.
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FuelCell Energy is grappling with significant financial challenges, with its share price at 0.3855 euros, far below the 1 dollar threshold needed for a Nasdaq listing. The company faces a potential delisting if it does not exceed this mark by the end of November. Additionally, a disappointing sales forecast of around 80 million dollars for 2024 has heightened investor concerns about its growth prospects and financial stability.
Nike's leadership is shifting as CEO John Donahoe resigns, to be succeeded by Elliott Hill, a veteran executive with 30 years at the company. This change comes after a significant decline in stock value and aims to restore investor confidence through a return to market-oriented strategies and global expansion. Following the announcement, Nike's stock saw a nearly 10% increase, signaling investor optimism about Hill's potential to blend tradition with innovation to navigate fierce competition.
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The US Federal Reserve has initiated its easing cycle with a 50 basis point rate cut, reducing the target range to 4.75-5%. Private banks are advising investors to embrace more risk, particularly in equities, while suggesting a shift from cash to high-quality bonds. However, the trajectory of future rate cuts may be influenced by the upcoming presidential election.
Wall Street's major banks are divided on the pace and depth of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, following a surprise half-point reduction. Goldman Sachs anticipates quarter-point cuts at each meeting until June, while JPMorgan forecasts another half-point cut in November, contingent on labor market conditions. Other banks, including Bank of America and Citigroup, predict additional cuts totaling 75 basis points this year, with varying expectations for 2025.
The US Federal Reserve has cut its target range for the Fed Funds Target Rate by 50 basis points to 4.75% to 5%, with projections indicating further reductions could bring rates to between 4.25% and 4.5% by year-end. Despite the significant cut, the Fed maintains a cautious approach, emphasizing that future decisions will be data-dependent, and further cuts are expected to be gradual, with a target rate of 3.4% projected for 2025.
Seven Swiss institutions, including UBS, BCV, and BKB, are participating in the Agorá project, which aims to explore the integration of customer deposits and central bank money into a programmable financial platform. Launched by the Bank for International Settlements and seven central banks, the project seeks to enhance the monetary system through tokenization and smart contracts. The initiative, involving 41 private financial institutions globally, is set to run until 2025.
Ethereum's price has surged ahead of the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, where a decision on interest rates is anticipated. Investors are speculating on a potential rate hike of 25 or 50 basis points, with a 63% probability of a 50 basis point cut. Additionally, the US election campaign is expected to influence market dynamics, particularly following a recent debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with hopes for a crypto-friendly administration.
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Germany's economic growth is showing signs of cooling, with the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment dropping from 19.2 to 3.6 in September. Despite a slight GDP increase of 0.2% in Q1, the economy contracted by 0.1% in Q2, and private consumption is faltering due to high inflation and changing consumer preferences. The outlook suggests a challenging period ahead, with stagnation and slight declines in GDP likely in the coming months.
The Federal Reserve is set to cut interest rates for the first time since 2020, with options of a 25 or 50 basis point reduction. Market sentiment leans towards a 50 bps cut, but expectations suggest a more cautious 25 bps reduction may be likely, reflecting mixed economic signals. The upcoming FOMC meeting will also provide insights through economic projections and the dot-plot chart, influencing market reactions, particularly in Forex and U.S. equities.

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