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J.P. Morgan has raised its forecast for a U.S. and global recession to 60%, citing escalating trade tensions and tariffs as major risks to business confidence and growth. Other brokerages, including Goldman Sachs and S&P Global, have also increased their recession probabilities, while analysts predict potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to mitigate economic impacts.
UBS Group AG has increased its voting rights in Dalata Hotel Group PLC to 4.41%, signaling a strategic investment that may influence shareholder dynamics and reflects confidence in the company's market position. Dalata operates a portfolio of hotels across Ireland and the UK, catering to both business and leisure travelers. Year-to-date, the stock has performed positively, with a 15.58% increase.
Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister noted that the UK is less impacted by new tariffs compared to the EU, receiving a 10% tariff while the EU faces 20% and Germany up to 25%. He questioned the US government's strategy, suggesting it may inadvertently punish countries with trade deficits, like the UK and Brazil, rather than achieving balanced trade. Pfister argued that the tariffs reflect a lack of careful consideration in their implementation.
Mother’s Day at the end of March provided a significant boost to UK high streets, with general retail and supermarket transactions surging by 40.1% compared to the 2025 daily average. Despite ongoing cautious spending habits, consumers prioritized memorable experiences, benefiting florists, restaurants, and supermarkets. The hospitality sector saw a much-needed uplift, with restaurant transactions up 6.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend as spring approaches.
Virbac is set to release its first-half results on September 17, typically aligning with market expectations. The company's shares have been on an upward trend since 2018, recently breaking out of a bullish rectangle pattern, with a major support level at €129.80 and a target resistance at €140.30. The scenario remains valid as long as prices stay above the support threshold.
Barclays has lowered its price target on MSCI, Inc. to $650 from $675 while maintaining an overweight rating. MSCI specializes in providing information and tools for institutional investors, with net sales primarily derived from stock market indices (57.4%) and market analysis solutions (24.4%). Geographically, the company generates 41.3% of its sales from the United States, with significant contributions from Europe, the UK, and other regions.
LSEG has set prices within the euro curve for its inaugural Swiss issuance, as issuers prepare for upcoming US tariffs. The move reflects a strategic response to market conditions, highlighting the ongoing adjustments in the financial landscape.
Paramount Global has been downgraded by Deutsche Bank from a "buy" to a "hold" rating, with a target price of $12.00, indicating a potential upside of 2.3%. The company reported a quarterly loss of $0.11 EPS, missing estimates, and has an average analyst rating of "hold" with a price target of $12.09. Institutional investors hold 73% of the stock, reflecting significant interest despite recent challenges.
Barclays PLC has disclosed its positions in Dalata Hotel Group PLC, revealing interests of 1.17% and short positions of 1.19% in the company's securities, as required by the Irish Takeover Panel. This regulatory compliance may influence stakeholders' views on Barclays' strategic interests in the hospitality sector. The bank, a major player in global financial services, continues to engage in various transactions related to Dalata, reflecting its ongoing involvement in the market.
Direct Line Insurance Group PLC has announced that BNP Paribas SA has acquired a significant stake, now holding 5.90% of the company's voting rights. This move could influence the company's strategic decisions and market positioning. Direct Line specializes in various insurance products, including car, home, travel, and pet insurance.
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global brokerages raise recession odds as trade tensions escalate
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The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
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Shounak Dasgupta
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17:05 04.04.2025
ubs increases stake in dalata hotel group to 441 percent
16:38 04.04.2025
uk faces lower tariffs than eu amid trade tensions with us
16:18 04.04.2025
mother's day spending boosts uk high streets amid cautious consumer behavior
16:16 04.04.2025
Virbac shares break out of bullish rectangle ahead of earnings report
15:44 04.04.2025
barclays lowers price target on msci while maintaining overweight rating
15:21 04.04.2025
LSEG sets euro curve pricing in first Swiss market entry before US tariffs
15:09 04.04.2025
paramount global downgraded to hold by deutsche bank amid mixed analyst ratings
15:07 04.04.2025
barclays reveals positions in dalata hotel group securities compliance update
14:17 04.04.2025
bnp paribas increases stake in direct line insurance to 5.9 percent
14:02 04.04.2025
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