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Robust US employment numbers have prompted a shift in Federal Reserve rate expectations, challenging previous assumptions of steep cuts. The dollar has strengthened, and the 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 3.985%, suggesting a potential pivot in investment strategies towards risk assets like US equities. This economic resilience indicates a likelihood of rate stabilization, leading to a global reshuffling of capital allocations.
IG
00:19 08.10.2024
Blue Owl Capital is set to enhance its infrastructure capabilities with the $1 billion acquisition of IPI Partners, adding approximately $10.5 billion in assets. The deal, primarily in stock, will bolster Blue Owl's digital infrastructure strategy and integrate IPI's 70 employees into its operations. The acquisition is expected to close in late 2024 or early 2025, following Blue Owl's recent purchases of Atalaya Capital Management and Kuvare Asset Management.
Dan Loeb's Third Point hedge fund achieved a 2.9% gain in September, outperforming the S&P 500's 2.1%, but remains behind the benchmark for the year with a 15.6% increase compared to 22.1%. Key contributors included Vistra Corp., Amazon, and Meta Platforms, while losses came from Advance Automotive Parts and Airbus. The fund's stock portfolio is currently 75% net long, maintaining its top positions in Pacific Gas & Electric, Amazon, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.
Brad Fitts, VP at Cambridge Savings Bank, shares key insights for small business owners, addressing concerns about loans, time management, and fraud protection. He emphasizes the importance of safeguarding deposits beyond FDIC insurance and encourages building strong banking relationships. Cambridge Savings Bank, a leading community bank in Massachusetts, offers comprehensive banking services and has received an investment-grade rating from Kroll Bond Rating Agency.
19:45 07.10.2024
Investors are gearing up for significant US inflation data and the start of the US reporting season, with key speeches from numerous Fed representatives expected to provide insights into monetary policy. The upcoming "FOMC Minutes" and inflation estimates suggest a potential decline in inflation rates, while producer prices and consumer confidence data will also be closely monitored. The reporting season kicks off with major banks like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo set to release their earnings.
IG
14:32 07.10.2024
Bitcoin's price has surged above $63,000, driven by strong US labor market data, which saw 254,000 new jobs added in September, lowering the unemployment rate to 4.1%. However, geopolitical risks and upcoming US inflation data could impact market sentiment and interest rate expectations. Investors remain hopeful for two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, despite concerns over inflation potentially dampening this outlook.
IG
10:29 07.10.2024
Compenswiss has controversially shifted its custodian bank mandate from UBS to the American firm State Street, sparking political backlash and public concern over Swiss national assets being managed by a foreign entity. Critics argue the decision raises questions about compliance with federal procurement laws and the implications for asset management, despite assurances that the change is purely administrative and does not affect the location or management of the funds.
09:00 07.10.2024
A $9 billion hedge fund has entered the competitive landscape of big-bank commodity-index trading by hiring a senior executive from JPMorgan. This move signals a significant shift as the hedge fund aims to capitalize on opportunities within the commodity market.
09:00 07.10.2024
Big banks, including JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, are set to report Q3 earnings, with analysts optimistic about the impact of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts on loan growth and profitability. Stephen Biggar from Argus Research highlights that lower rates could ease deposit costs and improve loss provisions, benefiting the lending business. He identifies JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley as top stock picks for the upcoming earnings season.
09:00 07.10.2024
This week’s trade recommendation is to short the NASDAQ 100 around 19,900, targeting a decline to approximately 17,100, with a stop and reverse order set above last week's high at 20,320. The strategy is based on recent positive US jobs data failing to sustain market momentum, suggesting a potential ABC Elliott wave correction.
IG
09:00 07.10.2024
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