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UBS analysts predict a significant decline in the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) profits, estimating first-quarter earnings between CHF 5 billion and CHF 15 billion, down from CHF 58.8 billion last year, primarily due to a rise in gold prices. However, the appreciation of the Swiss franc and falling U.S. equity prices are expected to negatively impact results, potentially leading to a loss of up to CHF 50 billion for the year. An interest rate cut from 0.25% to 0% is anticipated in June amid these economic challenges.
Gold has reached record highs, gaining over 30% since the start of the year, driven by strong investor demand, geopolitical tensions, and inflation concerns. Central banks are diversifying reserves away from the US dollar, with forecasts for gold purchases raised to 1,000 tonnes in 2025. The outlook suggests gold could reach USD 3,500/oz, supported by ongoing investment demand and a volatile macroeconomic environment.
Gold prices have surged to over $3,500 per ounce in April 2025, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, significant central bank purchases, and persistent inflation concerns. This rally reflects a strong demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid market volatility, with daily price fluctuations exceeding $50. Investor interest in gold-backed ETFs and physical gold has reached new heights, while the weakening US dollar and rising real yields further enhance gold's appeal. As central banks increase their gold reserves, the market dynamics are shifting, creating substantial underlying demand for the precious metal.
Barclays has lowered its price target for CF Industries from $95 to $87 per share, maintaining an Equal Weight rating due to a delayed return timeline and a slower-than-expected U.S. crop season. Analysts forecast an average target price of $88.37, indicating a potential upside of 17.62% from the current price of $75.13. The consensus recommendation remains a "Hold" with an average rating of 2.6 from 21 brokerage firms.
Gold's uptrend is gaining momentum, having defended its 50-day moving average, with the MACD reaching a multiyear high. Key resistance levels are projected at $3515 and beyond, while the near-term support is identified at $3325, with risks of short-term volatility remaining. A break below this support could indicate a brief decline.
Oil prices rose on Tuesday as investors engaged in short-covering following Monday's losses, with Brent crude climbing to $66.68 a barrel and WTI at $63.53. However, concerns over economic impacts from tariffs and US monetary policy continue to loom, with predictions of a potential recession affecting fuel demand. Progress in US-Iran nuclear talks may also influence supply dynamics, while Russia has revised its Brent price forecast downwards for 2025.
Gold has surged to a record high, surpassing $3,400, as the dollar falls to its lowest point in 2024. This historic increase reflects significant shifts in the market, highlighting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset amid economic uncertainties.
Gold prices are surging as institutional investors shift capital amid rising global recession fears, with 82% of fund managers anticipating weaker economic growth. Gold is now seen as the top asset class for 2025, with a significant increase in demand driven by expectations of U.S. dollar depreciation. Concurrently, managers are reducing equity exposure and increasing allocations to cash, fixed income, and defensive sectors like healthcare and utilities, reflecting a clear preference for safety over growth.
Morgan Stanley has lowered its price target for Alcoa (AA) from $39 to $35 following the company's first-quarter earnings report and updated commodity price forecasts for 2025. Despite this reduction, the firm maintains an Overweight rating on the stock.Analysts project an average target price of $35.23 for Alcoa, indicating a potential upside of 51.06% from its current price of $23.32. The consensus recommendation from brokerage firms suggests an "Outperform" status, with an average rating of 2.3 on a scale of 1 to 5.
Bank of America has seen significant growth in interest income during the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes, and it continues to thrive even as rates ease. The bank is trading just 3% above its book value, indicating it may be undervalued. Meanwhile, Berkshire Hathaway is set to receive substantial dividend income from both Coca-Cola and Chevron, highlighting the stability and predictability of these investments.
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